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Yield Curve is Inverted = Recession?

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Marc Pfeiffer
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Last edited time
Oct 6, 2023 7:39 PM

Date: 9/28/2023

The yield curve has historically predicted the last prior 7 recessions. It is now negative again. Are we due for another recessions and if so what’s the best way to prepare for it from a portfolio perspective?

Source: Guru Focus

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Another metric to look at is the Fear / Greed Index here

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Here’s it on a timeline view

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Other things to look at include the Shiller P/E Ratio as when it has passed 20 it has preceded a decline in the market.

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Here’s the current chart as of writing this article from: https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe

It shows that we are clearly above a 20 P/E ratio.

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