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Oct 6, 2023 7:39 PM
Date: 9/28/2023
The yield curve has historically predicted the last prior 7 recessions. It is now negative again. Are we due for another recessions and if so what’s the best way to prepare for it from a portfolio perspective?
Source: Guru Focus
Another metric to look at is the Fear / Greed Index here
Here’s it on a timeline view
Other things to look at include the Shiller P/E Ratio as when it has passed 20 it has preceded a decline in the market.
Here’s the current chart as of writing this article from: https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
It shows that we are clearly above a 20 P/E ratio.